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Secondary buyer target returns analysis
Net IRR
Net Multiple
Movement in midpoint of survey respondents’ target returns by investment strategy
Net IRR – Delta between weighted average midpoint of 2023 versus 2022 responses
Net Multiple – Delta between weighted average midpoint of 2023 versus 2022 responses
There has been a material increase in target venture returns as performance has softened in many technology businesses and private valuations have not been appropriately reset. Increased return targets for infrastructure, real estate, and private credit are likely interest-rate-driven as debt has become more expensive, impacting the cost of capital and providing more attractive opportunities to generate yield. While we haven’t seen a substantial difference in return expectations for buyout assets from last year, investors are much more conservative in projecting the financials and exit assumptions that go into their models.
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